Archive for March, 2011

How to Smell a Rat

Did you know that Ulysses S. Grant had fallen victim to a pyramid scheme? He had a family friend who wanted to start a brokerage business, with Grant as the figurehead and not involved in the daily operations. Grant’s name provided the business venture an element of credibility that encouraged people to want to invest in the company and eventually resulted in severe financial troubles for the former president. The point is this: anyone can fall prey or become a victim of fraud.

This story, along with the some of the points below, is from the book How to Smell a Rat.  Although the book focuses on financial and investment fraud, some of these signs are similar to what we may see in factoring. What are some of these signs?

The package is too good to be true. I don’t think we need to go into what this means here… we have all seen this type of deal.

What the business does or what their billing process is seems “too complicated” to describe; remember, if it is not clear, ask again. Then, if you still do not truly understand, ask again. Don’t be taken off guard should the prospective client seem frustrated with you… it may be purposefully complicated. One important fact: part of a fraud is that you do not understand.

If you do not understand the billing, then it would be impossible, or at the very minimum challenging, to review the invoices and documentation to know: what is being billed for, if it is completed, if there are hidden or unknown offsets or reasons for non-payment to occur, if there are required contracts or forms that need to be completed and submitted with the billing, etc. This would also fall into the category of not understanding an industry.

For example, if you are not familiar with the construction industry, it would be easy to over bill on invoices, or jobs. In addition, you would not understand the risks of funding on retainage invoices or ensuring subcontractors for material and labor are paid timely. You would have the potential of having factored invoices that were not approved, as the work had really not been completed for the amounts presented. This may mean only 70% and not 90% of the work had actually been done. Or, the work billed for was not allowable under the contract. No change order had been presented (i.e., the contract was for $150,000 and the invoice was for $175,000 because the client had received only a verbal request to do additional work). And, on those subcontractors not being paid timely… you could run the risk of receiving short pays on invoices as part of the monies were sent directly to the subcontractor or material supplier.

Another sign: You did not do your own due diligence, relying on a trusted friend or intermediary. This also includes the “friend of a friend” scenario. Sometimes, good reputations can be built or manufactured by those who provide charitable donations, who are active in politics, or who are part of affluent groups. Think of Madoff, who once had a strong reputation; many people gave him money because of his reputation… not because of the facts or their own due diligence or investigation.

What about the referral from a friend, or from someone within an affluent circle? Underwriting or completing due diligence is an ongoing part of what we do as factors. Ensuring that this process is completed by you as the factor is also just as important. You cannot rely on a broker, a friend, a third party or another factor to do this for you, as you do not really know what kind of due diligence they have done.

It should be noted that some fraud can also be internal to the factoring company. Yes, just as in any business, it can happen. Having checks and balances in place may prevent employee/client collusion. For example, does the same person verify invoices, review paperwork, buy schedules, post checks, and collect on invoices? Who wires out money to the clients, and who ensures that money went to the clients? Is there anyone else within the organization who audits or double checks that these duties are being done accurately? What checks and balances do you have in place for these activities?

There are obviously many more signs of fraud that can and do exist. These were just a few highlights selected from this particular book, as it was the title that originally caught my attention.

Wishing you continued success. The Factor Guru.

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Warning Will Robinson: Proceed with Caution

In 2008, the National average diesel fuel price peaked at over $4.70 in July. At that time, these rising diesel fuel prices occurred during a continued weakness in freight volume, which resulted in 2008 being one of the worst years in the transportation industry with minimal relief seen in 2009. In fact, over 3,000 trucking companies went out of business. Today, estimates project rising diesel fuel costs to be close to $4.00 by mid-2011 with a possible cumulative impact that extends into 2012 with prices again close to $5.00.

Yes, there was a lot more going on in 2008 than just these rising fuel prices… kind of reminds me of now, except today we have a weakened economy slowly showing signs of improvement and gradually increasing consumer confidence. Of course, this does not give a lot of lead way for the possibility of the housing market to fall into another downward spiral, for unemployment numbers to remain at similar levels where they are now over the course of 2011, for the oil supply to continue being focused on importing while drilling remains on a permatorium (is that an official word), and the list goes on… we haven’t even talked about the Middle East (at least not directly)…

But, let’s look again at those escalating fuel costs projected for this year and the next. Learning from some of the lessons in 2008, many trucking companies were slow to react with fuel surcharges. Although many anticipate a faster reaction to these rising costs for this time around, transportation business owners do not believe that these surcharges alone can help recover these diesel fuel costs and resulting losses. This comes at a time when trucking companies are looking to replace equipment as they have spent the last few years getting through with what they have. Now, it’s time to update their fleets and meet new regulation requirements. Financing for these fleets may continue to be a challenge though.

Another potential for concern as prices continue to rise is the impact to shippers which affect several industries. Could fuel usage patterns force shippers to consider such options as bringing manufacturing sources closer to their facilities? Could consumers start pulling back on other spending and becoming more frugal once again? What impact will all of this have on the economy for small to mid-sized businesses, lenders and the factoring community?

There was only minimal growth through 2008; the factoring industry grew only 0.5% from 2007. The question for now: what does all this mean for the rest of 2011? What kind of growth can be expected for this year and the next? One can only look to make assumptions, which may not necessarily end up in a good place. Assumptions usually do not…

What do I get out of all the projections for the rest of this year? “Warning, Will Robinson…” Proceed with caution. Continue staying focused on your portfolios, especially on debtor credit, concentrations and debtor payment patterns. Be sure to look at background reports on owners and research other companies for alter egos or related companies. Be diligent in watching for early warning signs and identifying red flags to prevent fraud or mitigate potential losses. And, just in case, it never hurts to be lean (not necessarily mean). Continue looking for ways to become more efficient and keeping costs down in your operations.

Wishing you success. The Factor Guru.

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